Contrarian Positioning Without the Hero Story
Three fair objections to leaning against the crowd, each answered with sizing and a written exit test.
Member, Emerald Coast Holdings LLC · Fort Lauderdale, Florida
Notes on venture debt, private and distressed credit, high yield, and the balance sheets behind telecommunications and utilities, written as mechanisms rather than forecasts.
My days go to middle market companies, venture debt and early stage capital, as a Member of the private investment firm Emerald Coast Holdings. Before this I spent my working hours inside institutional research, reading both bonds and stocks, and following telephone networks and power companies for a long stretch.
This site is where the reasoning gets written down. The pieces explain how a loan, a bond or a balance sheet actually works: who is paid first, what a document permits, where cash goes when a plan slips. None of it is a recommendation, and none of it depends on this quarter's news.
30 articles on this site
Three fair objections to leaning against the crowd, each answered with sizing and a written exit test.
Nine lines, built in order, from the customer's payment to the lender's coupon.
The anchor account that justifies a loan can sink it too. One invented supplier, two outcomes.
Why the biggest new customer a utility has ever had starts out as a claim on its borrowing capacity.
Two founders at one fork, and why the right answer depends on what sits at the end of the money.
Starting from the money and working toward the vision, one slide at a time, with the questions each one raises.
Every article sits under one of ten topics, and each stands on its own.
All writing