Peter DeCaprio Insights

Credit · Venture debt · Infrastructure

What an Early Stage Lender Reads in Board Decks

A lender reads a board deck backwards, from the cash slide to the story, and each slide on the way tests whether the pitch at the front is funding itself.

Peter DeCaprio in a navy jacket seated on the edge of a desk in a classroom, listening to a student in front of a blackboard

When a board deck reaches a lender, the page the lender turns to first sits near the back: the one showing cash in the bank, net burn for the month, and the date the money runs out on current plans. Everything before it is arranged to be read in order, building from vision to evidence to plan. A lender reads it in reverse. The story at the front is a claim, and the cash slide at the back shows whether that claim is paying its own way. Starting from the test and working toward the claim is the fastest route to seeing which parts of the story the numbers support.

Cash and runway

The first thing I check is whether the cash figure on this slide matches the balance sheet in the monthly package, and whether burn is calculated the same way it was last quarter. Definitions drift. A company that moved a cost out of operating expenses, or started counting a customer deposit as free cash, will show a longer runway with no change in the business. Then I look at the trend in burn more than its level. Burn that rises with revenue is a plan. Burn that rises while revenue stalls is a problem the rest of the deck will have to explain. I also want to know what sits under the cash line: whether any of it is restricted, pledged behind a letter of credit or held somewhere the company cannot move quickly. Cash the business cannot spend is not runway.

For a lender this slide also answers the minimum cash question directly. If a facility carries a cash floor, I want to know how many months stand between today and a breach, and whether management knows that number without looking it up.

Budget against actuals

One slide earlier, most decks set the plan next to what actually happened. I read the variances before the totals. A company that misses by a little in every line is budgeting honestly and executing slightly under. A company that hits revenue while overspending everywhere else is buying its results. A company that misses revenue and cites timing every quarter is showing a pattern, and the pattern tells me more than any single explanation. I also check whether the budget itself changed. A plan revised midyear and then beaten is a different achievement from the original plan met, and the slide should say which one it shows.

Pipeline and forecast

The forecast is where the company says what the coming quarters will bring, and the pipeline slide is the evidence offered for it. I check how much of next quarter’s number is already contracted, how much sits in late stages, and how much depends on deals not yet identified. I also compare this deck’s pipeline with the previous one. Deals that appear on three consecutive decks at the same stage are not pipeline. They are hope with a logo. Win rates matter here as well. If the company closes only a small share of what reaches the late stage, that label is doing more work than the deals are.

Customers and retention

This is where I decide whether revenue is durable enough to lend against. The questions are plain: how many customers renewed, how much each one spends now against a year earlier, how concentrated revenue is among the largest accounts. A venture loan is repaid over years, and revenue that must be won again every year is weaker support than revenue customers keep paying without being asked. A single account supplying a large share of revenue is a risk I would want addressed in the loan documents, not merely noted in the file. Gross margin belongs in this part of the reading even when the deck puts it elsewhere. Revenue that costs nearly as much to deliver as it brings in does little for repayment, however loyal the customers.

The hiring plan

Headcount is usually the largest part of burn, so the hiring slide is the budget in another form. I check that the planned hires are the ones the forecast needs: salespeople ahead of a revenue ramp, engineers ahead of a product customers have asked for. Hiring ahead of evidence is sometimes right. It should be a choice the board made deliberately and can see on this slide, not a consequence discovered on the cash slide next quarter. I also look for what the plan does if the next round is late. A hiring plan with a pause point built into it is one a lender can live with.

Product and roadmap

By this point I know what the numbers support, so the product slide reads differently than it would from the front. I look for the link between what is being built and what customers renew for. A roadmap that deepens the reason customers stay supports the credit. One that chases a new market with the same team and the same cash is a second company living inside the first, funded by a loan underwritten on the first. Capitalized development deserves a glance here too, since moving engineering spend onto the balance sheet shrinks the reported loss while the cash leaving the bank stays exactly the same, one more reason to begin from the cash slide.

Market

The market slide matters least to a lender, and I read it mainly for consistency. If the addressable market is described as vast while the pipeline is thin, that gap is the thing to understand. It usually means the company is still searching for the part of the market that buys, which is fine for an equity investor and worth a smaller loan from a lender. A large market does not repay debt. Customers who pay on time do. Named competitors are worth a second look for a different reason. If a well funded rival is cutting prices, the retention figures a few slides earlier are the only real evidence the company can hold on to its customers.

The story

Finally, the front of the deck: the problem, the solution, the argument for why this company wins. Read last, it is no longer a pitch. It is a hypothesis I can check against everything behind it. When the story and the cash slide agree, the story is probably true. When they disagree, the cash slide is almost always right, and the story is the part that will have to change. That disagreement is also the most useful thing to raise with management, because how a founder responds to it says a great deal about how the company will report bad news once the loan is outstanding.

That leaves the cover slide, which I skipped on the way in. It carries the company name, the meeting date and usually a single line about what the business is. After reading the deck backwards, I go back to that line and ask whether the numbers I have just worked through would lead a stranger to write the same sentence. If they would, the company knows itself, and that is most of what a lender needs to see.